Eric Lundquist of eWEEK is well known for pushing past the mainstream hype of new technology and bringing the reality of what companies are, or need to be, doing today. I found his insight into 2009 quite spot on, you can read it
here.
On his third point: squeezing every last drop out of what you've got is perhaps the most realistic estimate of what IT will be challenged with. Recessions, down-turns or whatever you want to call it, cause IT departments to re-evaluate their operations and focus on "
lean" processes - More value with less work.